UFC Fight Night Bets
Yancy Mediros vs Damir Hadzovic
I’m liking the underdog Yancy at +105. Yancy has double the experience in the UFC and has fought better competition like Gregor Gillespie, Dustin Poirier, Francisco Trinaldo, and Donald Cerrone. I feel Yancy has the grappling and submission advantage as well. If you wanted to play it a little bit safe you could take the under 2.5 rounds at +105. This a great lightweight matchup that has a good chance of finishing inside the distance.
Ben Rothwell vs Chris Barnett
I got to go with the heavy favorite here big Ben at -335. Ben has fought the who’s who in the heavyweight division, has great wins of former champions and division elites. He has almost double the fights over Chis, 51 to 27. Add in a huge height and reach advantage for Ben and Chris taking the fight on a week’s notice, the deck is stacked against Chris for this one. If you wanted to make it sweeter you could even take Ben by finish for -118. I like the over 1.5 rounds at -143 as well. Some nice action on that fight.
Jack Hermansson vs Edmen Shahbazyan
I’m leaning with the moderate favorite Jack Hermansson at -162. Edmen is coming off a tough loss to Derek Brunson, I think Jack is a tougher matchup than Derek. Awkward striking, endless motor, great top control, ground and pound, and submissions. I could see Jack taking him down and finishing so you could boost the odds with Jack by finish at +138. An insurance bet with Edmen by KO at +250 wouldn’t be terrible as I feel it’s his only path to victory.
Felica Spencer vs Norma Dumont
I’m very confident in Felica Spencer at -186. I have faith in her grappling skillset and the level of opposition she’s faced. Taking Cris Cyborg and Amanda Nunes to a decision. Submitting Megan Anderson who holds a win over Norma. She’s going to use her grappling to ride out a decision or pick up a submission.
Carla Esparza vs Yan Xiaonan
This is a tough fight to bet on, my lock is that this fight goes to a decision for -335. I’m leaning Yan but Carla’s grappling could make this tough. I’d advise taking either lady by decision where they’re both around +150. Could add a lot of juice to your parlays but it’s a bit of a coin flip.
Rob Font vs Cody Garbrandt
Man, this is a difficult one. I’ve been going back and forth on the winner all week but as we get closer, I think I have to go with the former champion Cody at -110 pick ‘em. If Cody sticks stays intelligent, I think the speed and power will be too much for Rob. I could see Rob sticking and moving with his jab, he has good footwork, and could mix in wrestling so taking the over 2.5 rounds at +100 isn’t terrible.
Here’s what I’m going with: Insurance parlay:
Ben Rothwell finish -118 Rothwell/Barnett over 1.5 rounds -143
Jack Hermansson money line -162 Hermansson/Shahbazyan
over 1.5 -148
Felicia Spencer money line -186 Carla Esparza decision +140
Yan Xiaonan decision +150 Parlayed comes out to +585
Parlayed together comes out to +1054
Ladies and gentlemen please bet responsibly this weekend. Have a great time, and may god have mercy on our betting souls.