UFC Fight Night Betting Guide: Jung VS. Ige
Virna Jandiroba vs Kanako Murata
I got to go with the favorite Virna at -139. This is a grappler vs grappler matchup that I feel Virna has an advantage in the jujitsu and level of competition. Virna’s only two losses are from arguably the best female BJJ player today Mackenzie Dern, current #1 contender, and former champion Carla Esparza, two of the best grapplers in her division. I think Murata’s style of wrestling and top control plays right into Virna’s skill set. If you wanted to make it juicier Virna by submission at +250 is a very realistic outcome.
Dhiego Lima vs Matt Brown
I’m picking Dhiego Lima at -177. As much as I love Matt Brown, I feel he’s sticking around longer than he should’ve at 40 years old and riding a 2-fight skid. Matt’s ability to take a shot has not aged well and has always been vulnerable to body shots. Dheigo has been up and down in the UFC but he’s coming off a competitive loss to top 10 contenders Belal Muhammad and won 3 fights in a row before, so I feel he has a bit more in the tank than Matt. I love a no-decision at +100 because Matt is very kill or be killed and Dheigo has shown knockout power in the UFC, a great leg for a parlay.
Julian Erosa vs Seung Woo Choi
I’m going with favorite Choi at -150. I like what I’ve seen with Choi recently coming off a dominant performance over Youseff Zalal. He’s shown big improvement since losing to Gavin Tucker and Mosvar Eloev two very tough prospects. Erosa has a very wild style but I feel if Choi keeps a disciplined approach with the boxing and leg kicks, I think he can win a decision or even get Erosa out of there.
Marlon Vera vs Davey Grant
I have to go with Vera at -215. Grant does hold a win over Marlon, but I feel he’s grown so much since then. He’s fought a high level of competition against guys like Jon Lineker, Jose Aldo, Song Yadong, and Sean O’Malley. Grant is riding a bit more momentum but his last two knockouts have come from the same combination so I feel Marlon will be ready for the wild hooks of Grant. Marlon just has more tools in the striking and has gotten much better blending them together with the other phases.
Sergey Spivak vs Aleksei Oleinik
I’m liking Spivak at -240. I just feel like Aleksei’s chin is gone at 43 years old. Sergey’s has good enough grappling to defend the takedown attempts, and the footwork to evade the clinch. He has the boxing advantage which I feel is what is going to get him the W. Spivak by TKO at -139 is another great leg to parlay. If you’re the type to have parlays with multiple outcomes throwing in Oleinik by submission at +300 would be a great insurance move because, in reality, this line should be much closer to +150 to +200 as it’s the only way I see him winning the fight.
Chan Sung Jung vs Dan Ige
This is a tough one but I’m going with the young man Dan Ige at -125. I think after seeing how well Brian Ortega mixed up against the Zombie, I feel Dan could do something similar. The grappling is going to get it done for him by decision. I’m liking Ige by decision at +225. It’s going very tough to stop Jung with toughness and submission defense.
The parlay I’m going with is Virna Jandiroba, Marlon Vera, Sergey Spivak, and Dan Ige all money line added up to a total of +546.